The
concept of demographic transition (population dynamics) got its
origin from the essay paper of Malthus on the Principle of
Population. Thomas Malthus, the English clergyman, believed that
human population is growing geometrically; whereas, the production
(food production) is increasing arithmetically. Thus the population
growth will always surpass the food production. And when the
population surpasses production, the checks (intervening forces) will
operate to bring the population balance with the production (food).
Demographic
transition is governed by two natural factors – fertility and
mortality; however, if the advancement of technology (technology
revolution) is put in consideration, than the real wage (income
level) is also play an important role. Smith added another factor of
division of labor as the factor operating together with the real wage
at an equilibrium state, when the population increases with the
increase of wage. The fertility and mortality factors of demographic
transition are the results of positive and preventive checks
respectively. The checks which work to maintain the equilibrium state
between population and production.
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